3 ms·
I'm not convinced since maybe in the early days only the worst cases were being tested so they may be missing a significant proportion of the population. The ar
by Blackstone4 7y ago
I'm not convinced since maybe in the early days only the worst cases were being tested so they may be missing a significant proportion of the population. The article itself didn't balance the strengths or weaknesses of their approach which would be helpful. Open to being told otherwise.
- headmelted 7y agoI’d refer back to the absence of evidence for many asymptomatic cases relative to symptomatic cases. WHO looked at 320k background tests and less than 0.5% were positive.
- Blackstone4 7y agoFrom the article: "We re-estimated mortality rates by dividing the number of deaths on a given day by the number of patients with confirmed COVID-19 infection 14 days before." From this I understand that if a patient was infected but was not tested and confirmed until a later date, they would not be included in the denominator. Hence the denominator may be artificially low and thereby inflating the mortality rate.