3 ms·
"Even for healthy young people, the prognosis is often poor. " False. This article is spreading some bleak outlook. THe virus is very dangerous, but he's makin
by boromi 7y ago
"Even for healthy young people, the prognosis is often poor. "
False. This article is spreading some bleak outlook. THe virus is very dangerous, but he's making it sound like a WW3 .
The risk group is 65+, but especially those with other simultaneous illness. Mortality rate in China was far higher for men than women above age 60+, because there is a larger relative percent of men smokers. Below 60, only very few cases, which is clear from all data so far.
I typically enjoy Scott's articles, but this one is quite insensible and spreading a strong doomsday message, and is quite disappointing to see him offer his perspective in this time of great struggle. His expertise lies in physics and math, I hope others take it with a large grain of salt.
80+ years old 14.8%
70-79 years old 8.0%
60-69 years old 3.6%
40-49 years old 0.4%
30-39 years old 0.2%
20-29 years old 0.2%
10-19 years old 0.2%
0-9 years old no fatalities
- vvanders 7y agoIt's not just about what your age bracket is, it's also about flattening the curve and lowering the burden on the whole healthcare system so we don't lose the capacity to care for the cases that require hospitalization.
- pfdietz 7y agoEven with great care, sometimes it's just deadly. In particular, it can cause cardiomyopathy that can kill a patient even after recovery from respiratory failure. Manufacturing capacity for remdesivir needs to be ramped up ASAP.
- ailun 7y agoYes, but I think a poor prognosis doesn’t always mean death, and “often” has a different meaning depending on how bad the outcome is. While relatively few people will die, the experience can still be terrible even for young, healthy people. It can leave you with long-term organ damage. Full recovery, by which I mean feeling like yourself again, can take quite a long time. I’d call that a poor prognosis, and if 20% of cases are serious, I’d say that qualifies as often.
- bronzeage 7y agoThis is so narrow minded looking just at mortality rate. doctors in Italy are flooding in cases, and do but admit people older than 60. All those cases are young people. who knows if they will live, and what kind of damage will remain after this is over.