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The most likely outcome in my view is that a number of elderly legislators will die before the election. Even last winter, before the virus hit, the actuarial c
by idlewords 7y ago
The most likely outcome in my view is that a number of elderly legislators will die before the election. Even last winter, before the virus hit, the actuarial chances of everyone in the Senate living until November were down at around 14%.
Much of Congress and the men running for President are in a very vulnerable age group, and the nature of politics makes it hard to self-isolate.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gWVuTPWLXZH3nB5oVMAmbnw6BedmiSz16pRv3drrlX8/edit#gid=2063166065 https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1gWVuTPWLXZH3nB5oVMAm...
- DyslexicAtheist 7y agoappreciated, thanks for the link. covid19 will be a real wildcard adding plenty of volatility then.