2 ms·
Covid-19: A direct, raw, no-frills calculation
- ColinWright 7y agoThere are many, many, many sophisticated models out there, with a gazillion parameters you can tweak. This is a simplistic-but-revealing back-of-the-envelope calculation. The numbers are brutal. Actual number of cases are hidden by Governments, and distorted by testing and lack of testing, but the number of deaths is usually known. This shows that the current number of infected and infectious people is about 10 thousand times the number of deaths. Please, play with the figures.