3 ms·
I still assume it is possible and likely that something like cryptocurrency will eventually become incredibly valuable, but I see that happening only when techn
by jaltekruse 7y ago
I still assume it is possible and likely that something like cryptocurrency will eventually become incredibly valuable, but I see that happening only when technical and social hurdles are overcome to make it as widespread and scalable as the current credit card system for everyday transactions.
Unfortunately for current cryptocurrencies, they just don't have what it takes to compete with decades of trust to get everyone to put their daily spending money in them, that is what will make a future system valuable. The current role they play as a speculative investment seems quite silly to me, literally they only thing they are good for is transactions, if you can't do that effectively I don't see value in the tokens at all.
Imagine if someone started a stock exchange and listed a single stock, their own, the stock for the exchange itself, and no one else's. While you can buy some things with bitcoin or ethereum, it's nowhere near widespread, so that really seems to be effectively what it functions as for now, which looks very bizarre on its face. Unfortunately for the people who do want to get rich, if there is an eventual winner in crypto, their rise will probably look something like what we see now, limited buy in from speculators followed by some inflection point, so it's entirely possible buying this dip of ethereum or some other coin might be the right thing, but I'm just not sure any of them are ready yet. Even with SegWit and other stuff happening in bitcoin, it just isn't clear to me that becoming a cash or credit card replacement system is even the goal anymore, which seems like they are just riding on their first mover advantage to prop up the value more than anything at this point.
Note: reposting this from the stock trading halt discussion after its parent appears to have been deleted.
- gwbas1c 7y ago> I still assume it is possible and likely that something like cryptocurrency will eventually become incredibly valuable Probably, but whatever it is, it won't be Bitcoin and some magic software updates won't make your Bitcoins turn into whatever cryptocurrency-ish thing wins. The other thing to remember is that cash doesn't appreciate in value. (In the US, we typically have 4% inflation every year.) If a cryptocurrency is going to work for day-to-day commerce, its value needs to be rather steady. (Either low inflation or low deflation.) This means you can't just stick a bunch of cryptocurrency in your wallet and expect it to make you rich overnight. (Note: We don't have a lot of experience with deflation as "normal" in modern economies, so if crypocurrency comes with low deflation, like we have low inflation, we'll all have to adjust our expectations with money.)
- jaltekruse 7y agoAbsolutely agree, if you can't represent some of your resources in it and have any idea if you'll be able to spend it somewhere near at the value you put in at, there's just no incentive to use it as a means of exchange. Kinda makes tether seem like a good idea if I wasn't so worried it's a ponzi scheme.
- companyhen 7y agohttps://grin.mw https://grin.mw https://grinflation.com/ https://grinflation.com/ 1 Grin per second, forever.
- Vadoff 7y agoLook into Lightning Network
- baby 7y agotake a look at libra.