3 ms·
No, the hard part of trading anything is having edge over other people. Options are not priced assuming there will be a "miraculous recovery" in the next 24 hou
by highfrequency 7y ago
No, the hard part of trading anything is having edge over other people. Options are not priced assuming there will be a "miraculous recovery" in the next 24 hours. They're priced based on the world's expectation of future volatility, through a very competitive market mechanism. There is no reason to assume you have better insight than people who model this stuff full-time.
It's irresponsible to suggest that making money trading is akin to shooting fish in a barrel. Best case, it's a slightly negative EV gamble with high variance.