4 ms·
A key glossed over point is that the exponential curve only becomes am epidemiological curve with active and effective intervention (or completely skipped: a sl
by dv_dt 7y ago
A key glossed over point is that the exponential curve only becomes am epidemiological curve with active and effective intervention (or completely skipped: a slightly different path with some biological bottleneck - e.g. running out of people to infect - we don't want that either). The flu is only regularly an epi curve because we already have reasonably effective standing measures against it.
On coronavirus, you can't just sit back and expect the exponential curve to transform to an epi curve on a novel virus without a lot of work and coordination.