It's to early to say. The people who are popping up with symptoms now might have been infected up to two weeks ago. If you look at the Wuhan data, you see that

It's to early to say. The people who are popping up with symptoms now might have been infected up to two weeks ago. If you look at the Wuhan data, you see that the lockdown worked, but the number of confirmed cases at the time continued to rise dramatically until 12 days after the lockdown went into effect. We are only three days in on the Italy lockdown. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 Figure 1.