3 ms·
The problem is, exponential for how long? For instance, all seems to indicate measures in Italy are taken too late: and the exponential growth is still happenin
by ericol 7y ago
The problem is, exponential for how long?
For instance, all seems to indicate measures in Italy are taken too late: and the exponential growth is still happening there (almost 3 weeks after the problem started)
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
%matplotlib inline
it = pd.read_json('https://raw.githubusercontent.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19/master/dati-json/dpc-covid19-ita-andamento-nazionale.json',
convert_dates=True).set_index('data')
plt.plot(it[['deceduti', 'totale_casi']])
plt.xticks(it.index.values, rotation=90);
- Certhas 7y agoIt's to early to say. The people who are popping up with symptoms now might have been infected up to two weeks ago. If you look at the Wuhan data, you see that the lockdown worked, but the number of confirmed cases at the time continued to rise dramatically until 12 days after the lockdown went into effect. We are only three days in on the Italy lockdown. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 Figure 1.