I think there's a large chunk of many populations that predicts future conditions based on intuitive experience with the immediate past. "There won't be a real

I think there's a large chunk of many populations that predicts future conditions based on intuitive experience with the immediate past. "There won't be a real catastrophe in the future because there hasn't been one in recent memory," seems to be a real thought pattern that's driving a lot of behavior in the West. This is happening with the coronavirus even now that the writing seems to be on the wall. These complacency patterns (and their counterpart) may go deeper than one specific event, like the coming epidemic. For example, the survivors of WWII seem to have been an unusually serious bunch: they put a lot of effort into building global infrastructure to protect against all kinds of disasters. I don't know if this epidemic we're about to have will change things here. But I'm hopeful. Maybe some folks will wake up and start to adjust their perception of risk more broadly.