3 ms·
I see how the struggle for economic reasons, but I have too little faith in them being smart enough for that plan and doubt they have good enough data scraping
by anotheryou 7y ago
I see how the struggle for economic reasons, but I have too little faith in them being smart enough for that plan and doubt they have good enough data scraping by the max capacity line so closely with confidence.
Even the graph in the article is weird, why is there a sharp limit at max capacity in the T2 curve? the virus doesn't care about max capacity....
- pishpash 7y agoYeah, no. Nice hyperactive imagination to find any plausible justification for inaction. The intuitive impulse is there (trade off hospitals getting "creamed" vs. shutting down economy), but the implementation isn't realistic, so with the incubation period and lag in testing, all governments act too late. It's an impossible control problem. On the other hand, maybe the right time to act is to watch your stock market. It's a forward predictor. When it starts to tank, go all out.
- anotheryou 7y agoit does tank already, no? (sorry for the german link, just literally what I have open in the next tab) https://www.onvista.de/etf/VANGUARD-FTSE-ALL-WORLD-UCITS-ETF-USD-DIS-ETF-IE00B3RBWM25 https://www.onvista.de/etf/VANGUARD-FTSE-ALL-WORLD-UCITS-ETF...
- pishpash 7y agoAt least the US seems to have waited for the markets to signal, not epidemiology.