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I would think we be able to estimate fairly correctly. I assume pretty much everyone who dies from it would end up in a hospital and counted. And since we know
by Polylactic_acid 7y ago
I would think we be able to estimate fairly correctly. I assume pretty much everyone who dies from it would end up in a hospital and counted. And since we know the death rate, we know for every 1 death there were x who have it and will/have recovered.
- 0xBA5ED 7y agoExcept the death rate is determined by deaths/cases, which relies on counting the cases.
- Slartie 7y agoThere have already been missed deaths that were later attributed to Covid-19 in the US. Since the fatality profile of Covid-19 closely matches the fatality profile you expect anyway (people are more likely to die when they are old or have preconditions), it is actually a problem to get reliable death counts. Fatalities must have been tested, or tested retroactively, for correct attribution, and since the US currently isn't even close to doing proper testing of living patients, you can probably add two and two together by yourself.
- learnstats2 7y agoThe death rate is likely to vary depending on the strain and on the ability to treat effectively, both of which may change over time.