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The Coronavirus Is Much Worse Than You Think
- duxup 7y agoI'm not convinced the numbers given here are sure to pan out long term. I've seen what seem like far more authoritative sources indicate that things are more unknown than this article.
- aawalton 7y agoArticle implies that the average person had a 2% chance of drowning in a given year. If that was true, 64% of people would down by the agree of 50. Basic math doesn't add up. A 2% annual risk of death is catastrophic compared to normal life risks:
- Barrin92 7y ago>A 2% annual risk of death is catastrophic compared to normal life risks: as the article also points out, life is not lived in the aggregate. If you're in good health and not very old you should adjust your perception of risk according to your personal circumstances. For reference, the chance of a 40+ year old woman to get breast cancer every year is about 2%. I don't see all of them in perpetual state of panic. Someone on twitter tried to figure out by how much the corona virus worsens the average 'baseline' risk to die in any given year and I think it was about 5%. Puts things into context.
- chmaynard 7y agoI'm suspicious when a scientist writes a blog post and doesn't cite any references. Yes, there are elements of social panic in our response and it's fine to point that out. But he goes much further and implies that this virus is not a serious threat to human health, which is plainly false[0]. [0] https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/10/simple-math-alarming-answers-covid-19/ https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/10/simple-math-alarming-ans...
- nodex-alex 7y agoProject fear