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This Reddit thread over at /r/europe has pretty compelling visualizations: https://old.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/fguile/germany_vs_italy_covid19_cases/ http

by bitL 7y ago

This Reddit thread over at /r/europe has pretty compelling visualizations: https://old.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/fguile/germany_vs_italy_covid19_cases/ https://old.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/fguile/germany_vs_i... Germany lags 8 days behind Italy, Spain 7 days.

hef19898 7y ago
It is not the most popular opinion, but unless the modeling is coming from legit experts, as compared to some people playing with numbers, I prefer to ignore them. I stick with sources like the WHO and local health authorities, simply becasue they have the knowledge, expertie, man power and data basis to come up with reliable numbers. That being said, Austria is closing schools starting next week, Bavaria is discussing the same. Denmark and Plnd are closing schools as well. So even if Italy is 7 days ahead, other Eurpean countries are closing down sooner.
- bitL 7y ago
  Which is a good thing in both cases you mentioned. Though seeing those visualizations could put things in a proper perspective and prompt officials to act quickly while they could still do something about it. Many health experts are worried and are expressing their concerns publicly already. /r/covid19 is trying to keep all posts scientific and high quality, maybe you can monitor it over there for latest info.
  - hef19898 7y ago
    Not that active on reddit, but given that the data presentation from WHO and co. is abysmal, both in style and depth, I might give it a try. Not that I am following it to closely until now, so. Might change, so. I would love to get my hands on the raw data the WHO has so. Not post any results online or publicly, but to toy around with them. It is such an intriguing data set!
    - bitL 7y ago
      Here are datasets: https://lionbridge.ai/datasets/coronavirus-datasets-from-every-country/ https://lionbridge.ai/datasets/coronavirus-datasets-from-eve... Can't vouch for their accuracy though so be careful with any results.
      - hef19898 7y ago
        You are ruining my whole schedule for tomorrow, man! Just as a heads up, i am no ML guy or even data scientist, just a logistics guy who loves to crunch numbers in Excel. So I don't think you have to go through the pain to indirectly reach out to the CDC just tosatisfy my curiosity! But thanks a lot for the link!
- deleted 7y ago
  [deleted]

by bitL 7y ago

hef19898 7y ago

It is not the most popular opinion, but unless the modeling is coming from legit experts, as compared to some people playing with numbers, I prefer to ignore them. I stick with sources like the WHO and local health authorities, simply becasue they have the knowledge, expertie, man power and data basis to come up with reliable numbers. That being said, Austria is closing schools starting next week, Bavaria is discussing the same. Denmark and Plnd are closing schools as well. So even if Italy is 7 days ahead, other Eurpean countries are closing down sooner.

bitL 7y ago
Which is a good thing in both cases you mentioned. Though seeing those visualizations could put things in a proper perspective and prompt officials to act quickly while they could still do something about it. Many health experts are worried and are expressing their concerns publicly already. /r/covid19 is trying to keep all posts scientific and high quality, maybe you can monitor it over there for latest info.
- hef19898 7y ago
  Not that active on reddit, but given that the data presentation from WHO and co. is abysmal, both in style and depth, I might give it a try. Not that I am following it to closely until now, so. Might change, so. I would love to get my hands on the raw data the WHO has so. Not post any results online or publicly, but to toy around with them. It is such an intriguing data set!
  - bitL 7y ago
    Here are datasets: https://lionbridge.ai/datasets/coronavirus-datasets-from-every-country/ https://lionbridge.ai/datasets/coronavirus-datasets-from-eve... Can't vouch for their accuracy though so be careful with any results.
    - hef19898 7y ago
      You are ruining my whole schedule for tomorrow, man! Just as a heads up, i am no ML guy or even data scientist, just a logistics guy who loves to crunch numbers in Excel. So I don't think you have to go through the pain to indirectly reach out to the CDC just tosatisfy my curiosity! But thanks a lot for the link!
deleted 7y ago
[deleted]