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I disagree here. Denmark is acting proactively and shutting down schools for 2 weeks. This is a "rip the band aid off early" type of move. By shutting down ever

I disagree here. Denmark is acting proactively and shutting down schools for 2 weeks. This is a "rip the band aid off early" type of move. By shutting down everything for 2 weeks, they effectively self-quarantine during the entire incubation period and will dramatically slow the rate of the virus. China, on the other hand, did not do this, and they were forced to shut down schools for 6 months. These moves are HARD and painful, but the key to stopping a pandemic is acting overly aggressive and far-reaching. The USA is not doing nearly enough. We're going to be Italy in about 2 weeks.

chasd00 7y ago
for the two weeks as of day one of the changes. What if the virus shows up on day 15, the day after things return to normal? Will they stay shutdown for another two weeks?
- Athas 7y ago
  Yes. The PM made clear that the two weeks were for now, and might be extended, modified, or amended with further restrictions.
- gotstad 7y ago
  The virus will show up afterwards but could already be slowed by then combined with fewer infections from people returning from abroad. But they will have to see simply.
- rasz 7y ago
  >on day 15, the day after things return to normal two weeks is when you will start entering really bad phase, not returning to normal. I am guessing ~100 dead in Denmark by April.
0xfaded 7y ago
I live in Denmark and have been following this way too closely. I think we will be Italy within the next two weeks. Until today people have been completely unconcerned. But in the last three days the number of detected cases has jumped from 37 to 92 to 264 to 516. Nobody was taking this seriously until today, and there's just no way this hasn't already spread across the country undetected.
- acqq 7y ago
  The number of "detected" cases is influenced by the testing capability of those performing the tests. In a few days the real average "growth" rate will be clearer, but until the effects of some strong enough measures start to affect the numbers nobody can expect anything much better than what we see in Italy -- the curves across the Europe have "similar" growth: https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237781162153717760 https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237781162153717760 or https://twitter.com/illandancient/status/1237857213621907456 https://twitter.com/illandancient/status/1237857213621907456
  - 0xfaded 7y ago
    Sorry for not being clear. The point I'm making is exactly that people have been complacent due to the low numbers, primarily sure to inadequate testing.
rasz 7y ago
>effectively self-quarantine no such thing >China, on the other hand, did not do this, and they were forced to shut down schools for 6 months. where did you get that 6 months number from? considering Virus started in January and its March now. >These moves are HARD and painful, but the key to stopping a pandemic is acting overly aggressive and far-reaching. there is nothing aggressive or far-reaching in those moves, Poland enacted similar measures yesterday and every expert agrees its not enough and too late.

chasd00 7y ago

for the two weeks as of day one of the changes. What if the virus shows up on day 15, the day after things return to normal? Will they stay shutdown for another two weeks?

Athas 7y ago
Yes. The PM made clear that the two weeks were for now, and might be extended, modified, or amended with further restrictions.
gotstad 7y ago
The virus will show up afterwards but could already be slowed by then combined with fewer infections from people returning from abroad. But they will have to see simply.
rasz 7y ago
>on day 15, the day after things return to normal two weeks is when you will start entering really bad phase, not returning to normal. I am guessing ~100 dead in Denmark by April.

0xfaded 7y ago

I live in Denmark and have been following this way too closely. I think we will be Italy within the next two weeks. Until today people have been completely unconcerned. But in the last three days the number of detected cases has jumped from 37 to 92 to 264 to 516. Nobody was taking this seriously until today, and there's just no way this hasn't already spread across the country undetected.

acqq 7y ago
The number of "detected" cases is influenced by the testing capability of those performing the tests. In a few days the real average "growth" rate will be clearer, but until the effects of some strong enough measures start to affect the numbers nobody can expect anything much better than what we see in Italy -- the curves across the Europe have "similar" growth: https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237781162153717760 https://twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237781162153717760 or https://twitter.com/illandancient/status/1237857213621907456 https://twitter.com/illandancient/status/1237857213621907456
- 0xfaded 7y ago
  Sorry for not being clear. The point I'm making is exactly that people have been complacent due to the low numbers, primarily sure to inadequate testing.

rasz 7y ago

>effectively self-quarantine no such thing >China, on the other hand, did not do this, and they were forced to shut down schools for 6 months. where did you get that 6 months number from? considering Virus started in January and its March now. >These moves are HARD and painful, but the key to stopping a pandemic is acting overly aggressive and far-reaching. there is nothing aggressive or far-reaching in those moves, Poland enacted similar measures yesterday and every expert agrees its not enough and too late.