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The spread is being stopped in China. It is possible.
by cameldrv 7y ago
The spread is being stopped in China. It is possible.
- disappearance 7y agoNot sure we yet know at what cost though.
- cameldrv 7y agoGotta be less than the cost of losing 5% of the population.
- hcknwscommenter 7y agoThe spread is not being stopped. It is being slowed down. Huge difference. Slowed down is still very good and a very good goal for us, but the opportunity to "stop" COVID-19 has passed in the U.S. and EU.
- learc83 7y agoThe number of active cases is down from the peak China. If it continued like this without imported cases the virus would die out as each new infection infects fewer than 1 other person.
- hcknwscommenter 7y ago" each new infection infects fewer than 1 other person" That is quite an assumption. We shall see, I hope you are right.
- learc83 7y agoWell the number of active cases in China is dropping every day, so it's not an assumption, it's just math.
- hcknwscommenter 7y agoThe number of active known and reported cases appears to be dropping. There are three assumptions in that sentence.
- learc83 7y agoChina is still testing aggressively. If the number of active cases were expanding, much less expanding exponentially, the number of reported cases would be more than a handful per day. It's a pretty good assumption to make.