> I'm trying to arrive at a rational prediction of how bad things could be in the US, and how soon. As a whole, USA is around 11.5 days behind Italy. (some ot

> I'm trying to arrive at a rational prediction of how bad things could be in the US, and how soon. As a whole, USA is around 11.5 days behind Italy. (some others say 14 days) https://mobile.twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237144386569416712 https://mobile.twitter.com/MarkJHandley/status/1237144386569... But this is not so simple to translate, because of the very different sizes between USA and Italy (population, geography, and pop density), and the resources available (if the federal gov finally reacts). So, while that chart counts the cases per country, maybe the best thing here would be to consider the evolution in a single state, instead of the whole country.