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If the disease is only communicable for a few weeks after a person gets the virus, and everyone hunkers down for a month, then it should seriously impede an exp
by JMTQp8lwXL 7y ago
If the disease is only communicable for a few weeks after a person gets the virus, and everyone hunkers down for a month, then it should seriously impede an exponential rise in infections.
- crazygringo 7y agoSerious question: how does it impede it at all, rather than simply delay it for a month? How is the situation a month from now going to be any better than the situation right now?
- gundmc 7y agoThe idea is that by reducing density (and thus community transmission), you flatten the curve and minimize the number of people concurrently infected. This reduces strain on a fixed healthcare resource pool and avoids situations like we saw in Wuhan.
- lutorm 7y agoLike the other post said, reducing the overall number of people infected is good, but spreading out the curve is absolutely essential to avoid completely overloading the health care system. Given the nature of an unmitigated exponential and the fact that there is an incubation time, by the time hospitals start filling up you are bound for chaos a few weeks later with nothing you can do about it.