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Because the Chinese approach by now would requires forced quarantine of the majority of the world for months.
by dtech 7y ago
Because the Chinese approach by now would requires forced quarantine of the majority of the world for months.
- xyzzyz 7y agoSure, but anything less won't make much of a dent. That's my point: to observably flatten the curve, you need to go almost all the way there of killing it altogether. The "flat curve" region of R_0 is just very, very small.
- sigstoat 7y ago> That's my point: to observably flatten the curve, you need to go almost all the way there of killing it altogether. no, you don't. killing it completely would (hand-waving) require taking R0 < 1, and holding it there indefinitely. any reduction in R0 at all will flatten the curve, at least a bit. and small changes in the rate of growth can have a huge impact when you're dealing with (even temporarily) exponential growth. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0tIxDvrg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0tIxDvrg