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Strange, I often read/hear that from German scientists too. But I wonder: why has China succeeded in (maybe only temporarily) stopping and reversing the exponen
by baxtr 7y ago
Strange, I often read/hear that from German scientists too. But I wonder: why has China succeeded in (maybe only temporarily) stopping and reversing the exponential growth? South Korea seems also to be on the path of achieving this.
Of course, there is the possibility that numbers jump again like crazy once the heavy restrictions are lifted. But I still wonder why there is no second Wuhan situation somewhere else in China.
- asdfasgasdgasdg 7y agoChina hasn't just stopped it by a little either. The reproduction factor in hubei is near 0.5 and has been for a while. They will succeed in eradicating the virus in that locality before too long if things continue on their current trajectory. The difference is that they are actually trying. We aren't, yet, but soon we will be compelled to.
- ALittleLight 7y agoWill it help them though if the virus is freely spreading worldwide? They may get off lockdown and get reinfected by American tourists, for example.
- asdfasgasdgasdg 7y agoI expect that they will ban travel from infected regions (i.e. everywhere else). Or do what Israel is doing and impose a mandatory 14 day quarantine for all inbounds. Tourism is not going to be a thing this year.
- me_me_me 7y ago> But I wonder: why has China succeeded in (maybe only temporarily) stopping and reversing the exponential growth? I heard rumors that Chinese doctors got quotas of max cases they can report, then they have to make something else up. Plus all other stuff that they enforce there, like mass spraying, presonal lockdowns etc. That must play role too. Problem with China is that you can never trust what they report, as they are not allowing any outside org in to check /help/advice.
- baxtr 7y agoYeah, you’re probably onto something. They’re probably keen on “shaping their version of the whole story”