2 ms·
> That's a once-in-a-century, catastrophic black swan event. It's a catastrphic event but I don't see any reason it won't happen again in the coming years / de
by jobigoud 7y ago
> That's a once-in-a-century, catastrophic black swan event.
It's a catastrphic event but I don't see any reason it won't happen again in the coming years / decades. The virus itself could even have worse characteristics in terms of transmissibility and mortality. Our transportation network is so great and modern society so dependent on it there is no hope stopping these outbreaks going global, only slowing them down.
In fact it should probably be fairly easy for a malicious actor to engineer a worse virus. Longer incubation period, truly airborne, super lethal. Whatever the final death toll is, I don't think it'll be the last or the worst of the 21st century.