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The theory I've heard and find most probable is that Germany has more ICU beds per capita than Italy. A lot of people think hospital beds in general are most im
by partiallypro 7y ago
The theory I've heard and find most probable is that Germany has more ICU beds per capita than Italy. A lot of people think hospital beds in general are most important, but a lot of experts disagree. You could setup a hospital bed anywhere, ICUs are much more involved. Both Germany and the US have very high ICU per capita rates relative to others. Were it not for the nursing home and some cruise ship patients not getting the ideal care early on, the US rate would probably be about as low as Germany's.
According to this article, Germany has 4x as many ICU beds per capita as the UK (the most in Europe,) and the US has upward of 10x as many. https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/03/icu-doctor-nhs-coronavirus-pandemic-hospitals https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/03/icu-do...
- dredmorbius 7y agoInteresting and possible. I suspect that Italy may have had undetected community transmission longer than Germany, that German testing is more comprehensive, and that we're seeing more case, detected earlier, and less advanced than Italy's, typically. In another week or two the gaps in experience may narrow. Germany's recovereds are only 18 (of 1,224 cases), so the vast majority of cases are still ongoing. At a rate comparable to Italy's, we'd be looking at 88 recoveries. For much of this epidemic, different countries aren't so much doing better or worse so much as being earlier or later in the process. Italy seems 1-2 weeks ahead of Germany. Corollary: look for nationwide quarantine in Germany in 7-14 days.