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China has demonstrated that it is in fact possible to contain the spread. Please use the links I provided to review the data. Do remember that the Chinese built
by igravious 7y ago
China has demonstrated that it is in fact possible to contain the spread. Please use the links I provided to review the data. Do remember that the Chinese built two make-shift hospitals in something like 10 days. Once a couple of weeks pass we'll see if Italy is able to replicate what China did.
Here are my calculations based on current data[1]:
Country tot. deaths pop. (1m) tot. deaths/1m pop.
Italy 463 62 7.46
Iran 237 83 2.85
China 3120 1384 2.25
South Korea 53 51 1.03
Spain 30 49 0.61
France 30 67 0.44
USA 26 329 0.08
Italy has blown past China which is why they've locked down the country. Iran will surely do so next if they are not already doing so unless they want a national calamity. South Korea reacted quicker. Spain, France, will have to act next, possibly next week or the week after, the USA will have to act in about 3 or 4 weeks assuming things remain the same but by that time it'll be early April and the weather will be getting warmer so who knows.
[1] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
- senordevnyc 7y agoChina’s current status is impressive but it’s come at enormous cost which is unsustainable in the long run. And it’s unclear what’s going to happen in the long run as China opens up workplaces and public gatherings, and as international travel and commerce resumes. It may very well explode again. Some countries will get a handle on this for now, but many won’t, and it will continue to spread globally. It might take months, it might take years, but it’s not going away.
- igravious 7y agoPeople can do great things when needed. Who says it is unsustainable? Can we not change our habits? Can we not provide the equipment and supplies (respirators, medicines, masks, disinfectant and sanitizers) that need providing? With any luck we'll have a vaccine in 18 to 24 months. The flu season is halted by warmer weather. We can change our behaviour for a few years until we get it under control.