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>The economic damage is the damage caused by the reaction, not by the virus itself Exactly. I wonder what would have happened if this entire virus was treated
by fruffy 7y ago
>The economic damage is the damage caused by the reaction, not by the virus itself
Exactly. I wonder what would have happened if this entire virus was treated similarly to the seasonal flu.
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- vkou 7y agoThen you'd get Wuhan, all over the world. A swamped medical system, 3+% death rates, infected population growing exponentially, thanks to nobody having an immunity.
- dboreham 7y agoThis experiment has already been run.
- fruffy 7y agoWhere? Or how?
- rocha 7y ago1918
- rimliu 7y agoTake a look at the calendar. It is 2020.
- dboreham 7y agoIn the beginning, in Wuhan.
- fruffy 7y agoI rather consider Wuhan to be the textbook case of a mass-panic in the face of an unknown virus. What I am primarily concerned about is the people's reaction and the economic effects which seem unprecedented (at least in recent decades). This has a much larger impact than the virus itself. Why is the effect so big compared to other pandemics? Is it because of the way infections and deaths are tracked (which might have some influence on the initial perception)? Is it social media and its newly-gained influence on policy? Or because it primarily affects aged population, which makes up a large share of the influential electorate and policy makers? We will see how this entire issue will be treated in a year. I presume that even if it still prevalent, it will normalize in the eyes of the public and everyone will move on with their lives. And that point we will also have corrected and more accurate numbers and statistics, just like with every other outbreak.
- dboreham 7y ago>This has a much larger impact than the virus itself. That's only because we're considering one branch in the multiverse though, right? If we get in our time machine and imagine that we didn't have the "mass-panic", then presumably the impact of the virus would therefore be much worse. >Why is the effect so big compared to other pandemics? Compared to the 1918 flu you mean? I guess I'm not sure what other pandemic we have had recently to compare with.
- Polylactic_acid 7y agoThere aren't enough hospital beds available to treat everyone at the same time. There will be far far more deaths if you just let it run wild instead of slowing the spread.