You have to have number for each of: (chance of contracting virus) * (chance of contracting disease from virus) * (chance of fatality from disease). The first

You have to have number for each of: (chance of contracting virus) * (chance of contracting disease from virus) * (chance of fatality from disease). The first is dependent on containment efforts. The second is not 100%. The third is also partly dependent on containment efforts, as fatality goes up if hospitals get overwhelmed. I don't see how you get "we're all going to get this" when China and South Korea are already reporting decreases in daily cases.