4 ms·

We’re testing more than any country in Europe (or the USA)

• zaroth 7y ago
  A useful metric is the number of tests which are coming back positive. I’d say if it’s 3% or higher then you are testing limited.
  • bonzini 7y ago
    It's 10%. Not unexpected since only people with symptoms are being tested.
    • zaroth 7y ago
      10% is extremely high. Yeah, that shows that they are severely test restricted and the actual infection rate is significantly higher. That tells me that case count will grow at a rate of test rate * 10% for days to come even if the actual spread has peaked. IMO, and I’m not sure why more people aren’t saying this, the hospitalization rate in the general population under typical exposure rates is probably closer to 1% than it is 10%, and so just multiply the severe or critical cases by 100x to see the general population infection rate. And if severe case count is not growing, than neither was the infection rate ~7 days ago.