3 ms·
The tricky thing about my comparing with influenza is that "it's just the flu". Even if an influenza infection would spread with comparable ease on a cruise shi
by DCKing 7y ago
The tricky thing about my comparing with influenza is that "it's just the flu". Even if an influenza infection would spread with comparable ease on a cruise ship (and maybe it doesn't), I'm guessing it would not be investigated, reported or even remarked.
- hdjrorkdk 7y agoNot all flus are alike. Some, like H5N1 or Swine Flu were investigated and tracked in great detail, to the point of individual transmission chains.
- bad_user 7y agoH1N1 pandemic from 2009 has infected 1.4 billion people, with only a 0.02% mortality rate. Based on those numbers alone we can be pretty sure that it would have infected everyone on a boat. If this coronavirus will have the same spread, we could be talking of 19,600,000 to 42,000,000 deaths, or even more if the infections happen all at once and overwhelm the hospitals. So let's hope it's not as contagious as H1N1 or we're fucked. I guess it could be worse. We could be talking of the Spanish flu, which killed more than 1% of the world population.