> This is not predicting anything crazy other than a general downturn Why do you think this is not already reflected in the current price? You are the only pe

> This is not predicting anything crazy other than a general downturn Why do you think this is not already reflected in the current price? You are the only person on the stock market following the news? > adjusting positions every few weeks based on news You really don't get it do you? You don't buy or sell based on things going good or bad. You buy when things are under-priced, and sell when things are overpriced. And even with the latter you don't know the exact timing when the market will realize this. > Also I have friends in real estate who have earned 100% returns in a single year. It's not an impossible feat. If you can win 100% in a year, you can just as easily lose 50%. That's just how returns, risk and time work.