If you look at Italy's situation (which might be more representative for things to come compared to unique China's one as source of outbreak - initial denial an

If you look at Italy's situation (which might be more representative for things to come compared to unique China's one as source of outbreak - initial denial and delays, and on the other side ability to stop the whole country and have population following the orders to get shit done), fatality last time I checked was above 4%. Yes, they have older population, but generally its a first world country and their health care level is definitely above world's average.