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Every year the flu kills 640,000 people world wide. Right now we are at 3648 from coronavirus. Also there is a lot of evidence to suggest that the actual number

Every year the flu kills 640,000 people world wide. Right now we are at 3648 from coronavirus. Also there is a lot of evidence to suggest that the actual number of infections is much larger than the reported numbers. This means that the actual death rate is much lower than what is reported. All of this smells like a massive over-reaction to the coronavirus. There has been a correction to world markets going on for a while with the US being a possible exception. What actually shakes out it tough to say. Sadly, the markets are controlled just as much by sentiment as by actual hard data so...

cjbprime 7y ago
> Every year the flu kills 640,000 people world wide. Right now we are at 3648 from coronavirus. Great. How many people will die if coronavirus infections spread as widely as flu infections?
- kcolford 7y ago
  Actually, if you had an equal chance of getting either, then you'd have a much much higher chance of dying from flu, according to current statistics. People really underestimate how bad the flu is.
  - cjbprime 7y ago
    What? No way. Please give a citation. The mortality rate of COVID-19 is estimated at 5x-25x flu (0.7%-3.8% death rate) in all datasets I've seen. (Which of course means that getting coronavirus is 5x-25x more likely to kill you then getting flu.) The WHO's current estimate is at 3.4% mortality, near the top of that scale, as of March 3. > Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected. > https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020 https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-...
- JMTQp8lwXL 7y ago
  The lack of a reputable statistic is concerning. I found the number 480,000 deaths (only U.S., not a global figure) circulating on sites including Daily Mail, Business Insider, /r/China_Flu, and abc14news.com, a domain registered in late 2018 and may or may not have any relation to ABC News the company.
  - jml7c5 7y ago
    Answer: it does not. Pretty skeevy, since they're clearly hoping people will confuse it with a local ABC broadcaster. https://abc14news.com/about-us/ https://abc14news.com/about-us/

cjbprime 7y ago

> Every year the flu kills 640,000 people world wide. Right now we are at 3648 from coronavirus. Great. How many people will die if coronavirus infections spread as widely as flu infections?

kcolford 7y ago
Actually, if you had an equal chance of getting either, then you'd have a much much higher chance of dying from flu, according to current statistics. People really underestimate how bad the flu is.
- cjbprime 7y ago
  What? No way. Please give a citation. The mortality rate of COVID-19 is estimated at 5x-25x flu (0.7%-3.8% death rate) in all datasets I've seen. (Which of course means that getting coronavirus is 5x-25x more likely to kill you then getting flu.) The WHO's current estimate is at 3.4% mortality, near the top of that scale, as of March 3. > Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected. > https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020 https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-...
JMTQp8lwXL 7y ago
The lack of a reputable statistic is concerning. I found the number 480,000 deaths (only U.S., not a global figure) circulating on sites including Daily Mail, Business Insider, /r/China_Flu, and abc14news.com, a domain registered in late 2018 and may or may not have any relation to ABC News the company.
- jml7c5 7y ago
  Answer: it does not. Pretty skeevy, since they're clearly hoping people will confuse it with a local ABC broadcaster. https://abc14news.com/about-us/ https://abc14news.com/about-us/