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American Hospital Association "Best Guess Epidemiology" for #codiv19 over next 2 months: 96,000,000 infections 4,800,000 hospitalizations 1,900,000 ICU admis
by cklaus 7y ago
American Hospital Association "Best Guess Epidemiology" for #codiv19 over next 2 months:
96,000,000 infections
4,800,000 hospitalizations
1,900,000 ICU admissions
480,000 deaths
vs flu in 2019:
35,500,000 infections
490,600 hospitalizations
49,000 ICU admissions
34,200 deaths
- abootstrapper 7y agoSource link?
- CharlesW 7y agohttps://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-preparing-for-millions-of-hospitalizations-2020-3 https://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-pr...
- cklaus 7y agoSource: https://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-preparing-for-millions-of-hospitalizations-2020-3 https://www.businessinsider.com/presentation-us-hospitals-pr...
- nabla9 7y agoWhere it says next 2 months? If the doubling time is one week there is just something like 100k - 200k infections in next two months. I think those numbers are yearly infection estimates.
- graeme 7y agoI think the graph meant 96 million infections active in the peak two months. Hard to be sure without seeing the presentation, but it definitely isn’t the next two months.
- nateberkopec 7y ago"The American Hospital Association said the webinar reflects the views of the experts who spoke on it, not its own." You're quoting the opinion of one person: Dr James Lawler, a professor at the University of Nebraska Medical Centre. That person researches infectious diseases, so, their opinion isn't a complete guess of course, but we should ascribe the numbers to the right source.