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> school staff trend older and are at highest risk. This part doesn't sound right -- the highest risk groups are 70+ years old. Hopefully the school staff reti
by cjbprime 7y ago
> school staff trend older and are at highest risk.
This part doesn't sound right -- the highest risk groups are 70+ years old. Hopefully the school staff retires before then. The mortality rate for people below 60 is only around 1%.
The worry with young kids is that they may still be able to spread it, putting e.g. their grandparents at huge risk.
- eugeniub 7y agoThere are plenty of teachers in their 60s, where the death rate is 3.6%. If 30 teachers in their 60s get it, one of them will die on average. Even for people in their 50s the rate is still 1.3%, huge compared to the flu.
- lotsofpulp 7y agoSource on the numbers? I’m having trouble believing that such accurate statistics could have been produced so quickly, especially when there is no idea how many people contracted the virus and got better themselves as if it were just another cold.
- shanecleveland 7y agoI doubt a a 65-year-old teacher needs any more confirmation.
- marvin 7y agoThis looks like the numbers from the WHO-China joint COVID-19 mission. It likely overestimates the lethality somewhat. But even 1% is a big risk.
- WheelsAtLarge 7y agoIt seems that the risk of complications and death goes up with age. Also kids can be carriers even if they don't fall sick. Imagine kids bringing it home to grandparents. Suspending school meetings is the right call.
- jackfoxy 7y agoIt stands to reason kids can be carriers, but I have not seen any reports of child transmission data for covid-19. In this situation with such a crazy high R0 (transmissability) the lack of knowledge calls for erring on the side of caution.