3 ms·
Perhaps you should study some biology. What turns exponential functions into s-curves is a feedback loop. In the case of epidemics in the wild, the feedback l
by btilly 7y ago
Perhaps you should study some biology.
What turns exponential functions into s-curves is a feedback loop. In the case of epidemics in the wild, the feedback loop is that people who have already had the disease tend not to get it again. Which means that, without external effort, a disease remains exponential until it has burned through a significant fraction of victims where it has already been.
A disease that has affected thousands in regions with hundreds of millions should not yet be slowed by that kind of consideration.
- Barrin92 7y agothere are other exogenous factors like changes in temperature diminishing the spread of respiratory diseases over the summer, and avoidance of sick individuals happens quite naturally without having to stir up panic about exponential graphs on twitter. According to the WHO this virus, unlike influenza, does not seem to spread rapidly among asymptomatic people so the net effects of causing drama on twitter are probably going to create unnecessary anxiety in the population that will lead to mask hoarding or other unecessary behaviour.