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You are right but unfortunately almost everyone calculates the mortality rate based on confirmed cases alone, and that leads to a gross over-estimation of the d
by cm2187 7y ago
You are right but unfortunately almost everyone calculates the mortality rate based on confirmed cases alone, and that leads to a gross over-estimation of the dangerosity of this virus. So these visualisations are still kind of misleading in a way.
- bobbles 7y agoYeah but if every virus is modelled this way then the data is representative...
- JoeAltmaier 7y agoIsn't that true of all flu viruses, every year? Meaning this measure is still valid to compare with other flu epidemics. So that leaves this one at 10X or more fatalities, however you calculate it.
- cm2187 7y agoI am not sure. Looking at the CDC website [1], it looks like they extrapolate cases for the flu. They seem to estimate that roughly half of the people contaminated with the flu do not see a doctor (I would have guessed the numbers would be even lower, I had the flu a couple of times, it didn't even cross my mind to see a doctor). [1] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/how-cdc-estimates.htm