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I caution against reading too much into the South Korean fatality rates because many of the patients are younger and generally healthy (http://www.koreaherald.c

I caution against reading too much into the South Korean fatality rates because many of the patients are younger and generally healthy (http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20200303000714 http://www.koreaherald.com/view.php?ud=20200303000714). Whatever the global mortality rate shakes out to be in the long-run, it’s impossible to ignore the fact that this virus killed nearly a dozen nursing home residents in the span of 2 weeks. There’s a lot we don’t understand about COVID-19, certainly more than a single metric can tell us. Based on what we’re seeing in the state of Washington and around the world, it’s safe to say that older patients are at higher risk for developing respiratory failure. Beyond that, it’s simply way too early to draw conclusions.

xbmcuser 7y ago
Rumors of a few young people discharged after they have recovered and testing negative have later died with the virus coming back. I agree we have too many stories with even stories of 2 different strains one being deadlier than the other and people being infected by both at the same time. Actual mortality rate we will find out after 1-2 years only even that only if they have a test where can check if a healthy person ever contracted the infection in the past then test a few thousand people randomly. Btw China numbers show that people either survived or died in the third or fourth week after their symptoms got worse in 14-20 days after infection. So Korean mortality rate might even go up as it is still too early to tell .
- KarlKemp 7y ago
  Don’t spread “rumors”.
D_Alex 7y ago
The article's 0.6 mortality rate seems to have been obtained by dividing the number of confirmed infections (6284) by the number of deaths so far (40) - source: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594... This is completely misleading, unless the other 6244 people have already recovered. The low death rate so far is because the detected illnesses have not yet run their course. Edit: The source above says that the number of people in South Korea who have recovered from the illness is... 135.

xbmcuser 7y ago

Rumors of a few young people discharged after they have recovered and testing negative have later died with the virus coming back. I agree we have too many stories with even stories of 2 different strains one being deadlier than the other and people being infected by both at the same time. Actual mortality rate we will find out after 1-2 years only even that only if they have a test where can check if a healthy person ever contracted the infection in the past then test a few thousand people randomly. Btw China numbers show that people either survived or died in the third or fourth week after their symptoms got worse in 14-20 days after infection. So Korean mortality rate might even go up as it is still too early to tell .

KarlKemp 7y ago
Don’t spread “rumors”.

D_Alex 7y ago

The article's 0.6 mortality rate seems to have been obtained by dividing the number of confirmed infections (6284) by the number of deaths so far (40) - source: https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594... This is completely misleading, unless the other 6244 people have already recovered. The low death rate so far is because the detected illnesses have not yet run their course. Edit: The source above says that the number of people in South Korea who have recovered from the illness is... 135.