I honestly have no idea! Can you link to his analysis, I haven't seen it. Regardless, I'm no expert on this matter, and it would be nice if people stated this

I honestly have no idea! Can you link to his analysis, I haven't seen it. Regardless, I'm no expert on this matter, and it would be nice if people stated this more often than defer to which ever thing they heard as being correct, which I think is what people are doing when they say it's 'just a flu'. Ideally we should prepare for the worst of possible outcomes, hope for the best of possible outcomes, and expect the actual outcome to be in the middle. Those possible outcomes change as more information gets released.