5 ms·
> Pretty sure the fatality rate is based on the number of patients who present themselves to a doctor. I don’t think this is right. I believe it’s based on an
by omarhaneef 7y ago
> Pretty sure the fatality rate is based on the number of patients who present themselves to a doctor.
I don’t think this is right. I believe it’s based on an estimate. Your own numbers bear me out. The flu death rate is estimated to be around 0.1% and we can come to that number by a division here:
“ The overall burden of influenza for the 2017-2018 season was an estimated 45 million influenza illnesses, 21 million influenza-associated medical visits, 810,000 influenza-related hospitalizations, and 61,000 influenza-associated deaths”
So 61/45000 = .14%
- eveningcoffee 7y agoActually 21 million or 45 million does not make much difference. There will be still order of magnitude between influenza and covid-19 (CFR 0.2% vs 3.4%, and mind you, 3.4% is an early estimate and subject to change in the situation where new cases are still coming in and people are still dying, if you observed then CFR for covid-19 was around 2% when it was rapidly growing in China and did rise to current level when the new cases started to slow down; many people warned that it will be much higher actually but these people were hushed down; you have to use your own analytical mind to choose what is more closer to the truth).
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]