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Also, WHO just raised the death rate to 3.4% from the previous value of 2.3% ... [1] Add to this, the fact that that the outbreak is still expanding, and new c
by molmalo 7y ago
Also, WHO just raised the death rate to 3.4% from the previous value of 2.3% ... [1]
Add to this, the fact that that the outbreak is still expanding, and new cases tend to drive this number downwards. But if we consider only the "closed" cases (recovered/dead), the current number is more like 6% [2].
And it could be worse from the previous experience with SARS [3]:
>> Finally, we shall remember that while the 2003 SARS epidemic was still ongoing, the World Health Organization (WHO) reported a fatality rate of 4% (or as low as 3%), whereas the final case fatality rate ended up being 9.6%.
Of course, this number could also go down, if there's a big number of unreported mild cases.... so the conclusion is that we only know that we have no idea... and that it does indeed sound like this is aimed to reduce panic (which is also a good thing).
[1] https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-rate-is-3point4percent-globally-higher-than-previously-thought.html https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-r...
[2] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
[3] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-...
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PS: I'm giving the sources for the numbers I posted, so, instead of just downvoting, could you explain why you disagree? Thanks :)
- masonic 7y agoI didn't downvote, but this question came immediately to my mind: why no source link from WHO itself?
- molmalo 7y agoFor [1], you are right, and here you have it: >> "Globally, about 3.4% of reported COVID-19 cases have died. By comparison, seasonal flu generally kills far fewer than 1% of those infected." https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-s-opening-remarks-at-the-media-briefing-on-covid-19---3-march-2020 https://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-general-... For [2] I believe this page is making a good work at aggregating the data, and they have been linking their sources for the stuff they add, and for [3] in particular, they do link to WHO ([4][5]), but also summarize information from other sources. [4] https://www.who.int/csr/sars/archive/2003_04_14/en/ https://www.who.int/csr/sars/archive/2003_04_14/en/ [5] https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/119464 https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/119464)