3 ms·
This paper has more information: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6909e1-H.pdf https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6909e1-H.pdf TLDR: "S
by cbsks 7y ago
This paper has more information: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6909e1-H.pdf https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/pdfs/mm6909e1-H.pdf
TLDR: "Since February 28, an increasing number of newly diagnosed confirmed and presumptive COVID-19 cases have been in patients with neither a relevant travel history nor clear epidemiologic links to other confirmed COVID-19 patients. However, despite intensive follow-up, no sustained person-to-person transmission of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 was observed in the United States among the close contacts of the first 10 persons with diagnosed travel-related COVID-19."
They tracked the first 10 people in the US with travel-related confirmed COVID-19, and followed up with 445 people who had close contact with them.
Over 14 days, 54 of those 445 people developed new or worsening symptoms and were tested for COVID-19.
Of the 54 people, only 2 tested positive for COVID-19. Both were household members of originally infected people.
"Both persons with confirmed secondary transmission had close contact with the respective source patient before COVID-19 was confirmed and were isolated from the source patient after the patient’s COVID-19 diagnosis."
"No other close contacts who were tested for SARS-CoV-2 had a positive test, including the five household members who were continuously exposed during the period of isolation of their household member with confirmed COVID-19. An additional 146 persons exposed to the two patients with secondary COVID-19 transmission underwent 14 days of active monitoring. Among these, 18 (12%) developed symptoms compatible with COVID-19 and were considered PUIs. All tested negative, and no further symptomatic COVID-19 cases (representing tertiary transmission) have been identified."
- jwlake 7y ago"54 of those 445 people developed new or worsening symptoms" So we're basically having people make themselves sick by watching the news, its a brand new pandemic!
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- AnimalMuppet 7y agoSo... what? These people are picking up something that looks like COVID-19, but isn't? The COVID-19 tests are missing something like 90% of the people who have it? Or what?
- cbsks 7y ago> These people are picking up something that looks like COVID-19, but isn't > The COVID-19 tests are missing something like 90% of the people who have it As far as I know (I'm not an expert) either of those are possibilities, and it's too early to know for sure. Edit: This comment mentions the possibility of there being 2 types of the virus that spread at different rates: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22489599 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=22489599 Maybe the 10 people monitored in the US had the less contagious version? There are a lot of unanswered questions right now.
- makomk 7y agoIt's flu season. The symptoms of mild Covid-19 which were sufficient reason for the CDC to test close contacts of infected people are also basically just the symptoms of the flu or a cold or probably any number of other things.