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For the people who think it will grow exponentially (seemingly most epidemiologists), China's job in taking an uncontrolled outbreak and at least temporarily co
by tuna-piano 7y ago
For the people who think it will grow exponentially (seemingly most epidemiologists), China's job in taking an uncontrolled outbreak and at least temporarily controlling it seems quite surprising. How was China able to control it, and why can't that happen in other countries? Their efforts are really quite extraordinary.
"I think people aren’t paying close enough attention. The majority of the response in China, in 30 provinces, was about case finding, contact tracing, and suspension of public gatherings — all common measures used anywhere in the world to manage [the spread of] diseases."
(The above quote and both of these excellent articles are from the same primary source, Bruce Aylward from WHO):
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/04/health/coronavirus-china-aylward.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/04/health/coronavirus-china-...
https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-china https://www.vox.com/2020/3/2/21161067/coronavirus-covid19-ch...
Will this be enough to pause it for a long period of time? Or will it come roaring back once china lets their foot off the brake? Or will China extinguish the virus in their own country and have to block travel inbound to keep it that way? We shall see.
- whatshisface 7y agoIf you go around welding people in to their apartments, well, the virus will probably slow down.
- dwd 7y agoWere this the zombie apocalypse, people would be signing up left and right. Corona virus carriers just don't have the same menacing appearance as zombies, so everyone's still blase like it's climate change (which has a greater potential to kill more people - just not right now).
- dwd 7y agoThe answer to your last question is yes, with cases already of Chinese nationals returning from Italy with the virus.