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> Then, I don't know, it seems to me like people just love to come up with imaginary reasons why self-driving cars/trucks can't work. The way I like to put it
by gwern 7y ago
> Then, I don't know, it seems to me like people just love to come up with imaginary reasons why self-driving cars/trucks can't work.
The way I like to put it (https://www.gwern.net/Complexity-vs-AI#technology-forecasting-errors-functional-fixedness-in-assuming-dependencies https://www.gwern.net/Complexity-vs-AI#technology-forecastin...) is: 'The critic asks “can I think of any reason this system might not work?” and stops as soon as they find one excuse, but the forecaster needs to ask, “can I think of any system like this which could ever work?” and keep going.'
- riversflow 7y agoI don’t think this is a fair characterization of adversarial attacks on AI. People on hacker news are simply forecasting the future of hacking. People aren’t really saying ‘it won’t work, forget about it!’ they are simply pointing out that historically technology and criminal enterprise have followed a similar pattern to the garter snake and the rough skinned newt[1]. The more sophisticated deterrents evolve, the more clever adversarial strategies become. [1] https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/how-a-deadly-camping-trip-revealed-an-arms-race-between-snakes-and-newts https://www.atlasobscura.com/articles/how-a-deadly-camping-t...
- deleted 7y ago[deleted]
- gwern 7y ago> The more sophisticated deterrents evolve, the more clever adversarial strategies become. And yet, not clever enough to be so successful as to stop automation, or economic development, or increasing global wealth, or...