4 ms·
There's a model floating around out there now [0]. I think the main point of it is the transmission efficacy. The Gates article recently published in the New
by windexh8er 7y ago
There's a model floating around out there now [0]. I think the main point of it is the transmission efficacy. The Gates article recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine states the average person infected will go on to infect two to three additional [1].
I'm of the opinion that, while China appears to be the root cause, the advantage they have is a very authoritarian control on the response. People were literally welded into their apartments [2]. In the US, for example, there are many people that will blindly ignore all requests by politicians, local, state and national government. Many Chinese don't have that option for fear of strong repercussions. While I'm not condoning that use of force - I'm just stating as an observation. Beyond that the US seems to be in an odd spot given the upcoming election and divisive divide along party lines.
[0] https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bS6S4oNRuMHD4ezh177QSf3UU6a8lQHv/view https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bS6S4oNRuMHD4ezh177QSf3UU6a...
[1] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2003762 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2003762
[2] https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1703503427818 https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1703503427818
- whatshisface 7y agoThe question about China's draconian response is, was it an overreaction? They are doing a lot of damage to themselves by welding people in to their apartments and shutting everything down. Maybe it will turn out that the Korean approach of testing, canceling events, and you know, not putting people in camps, will end up with less overall damage.