2 ms·

Thanks for the link. One interesting data point; > In China, the overall CFR was higher in the early stages of the outbreak (17.3% for cases with symptom onset

by zaroth 7y ago

Thanks for the link. One interesting data point; > In China, the overall CFR was higher in the early stages of the outbreak (17.3% for cases with symptom onset from 1- 10 January) and has reduced over time to 0.7% for patients with symptom onset after 1 February (Figure 4). The Joint Mission noted that the standard of care has evolved over the course of the outbreak. So to highlight that, going forward, CFR of 0.7% of lab diagnosed cases.

tristanj 7y ago
Yes, assuming access to medical care. But we see that COVID19 quickly overwhelms medical systems, as it did to Wuhan & Iran, and upcoming in Italy & South Korea. For instance, this week 4 South Koreans died while waiting to be hospitalized. An additional 600 sick are still waiting for hospital beds. They don't have enough beds! And this is in the country with the 2nd most hospital beds per person! Many of the serious, and almost all of the severe cases will perish without medical care. Once the medical system is overwhelmed, the CFR could climb past 10%. https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fbxm0s/south_korea_4_in_22_deaths_happened_while_waiting/ https://www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fbxm0s/south_k... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_countries_by_hospital_beds https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_OECD_countries_by_hosp...