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That's only "how math works" under the assumption that the people who tested positive is an unbiased sample of the population who have coronavirus. That is, you
by Tomminn 7y ago
That's only "how math works" under the assumption that the people who tested positive is an unbiased sample of the population who have coronavirus. That is, you're implicitly assuming you're equally likely to be tested if you have symptoms or if you have no symptoms. The parent is suggesting the possibility that if you have symptoms you're far more likely to be tested than if you have none.
- m0zg 7y agoExactly. People mildly "under the weather" in an area where infection numbers are known to be significant, would probably be scared to go to the hospital, too. I know I would not go unless shit got really bad.
- knzhou 7y agoThat's true, but "1%" is already adjusted for this effect -- in the early days when China was getting overwhelmed, the number was much higher. 1% is the number that we've stabilized on within countries doing proactive, mass testing.