Practical advice with links to more information. Additional updates will be posted on https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hYPrTMKfcEFux2rETlK07TAmW1wAW3003a00YR

Practical advice with links to more information. Additional updates will be posted on https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hYPrTMKfcEFux2rETlK07TAmW1wAW3003a00YRDn9qw/edit https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hYPrTMKfcEFux2rETlK07TAm... Probably the single most important "prediction" based on past epidemics (e.g. 1919 Spanish Flu, HN1 in UK in 2009) is his point 5: Expect A Second Wave "In many epidemics disease course follows two waves. In wave one, an initial infection happens followed by governments tightening movements, shutting schools, and in general decreasing the spread of the diseases. Controls are eventually relaxed (people need to work, kids need to go to school etc.) and then a few months later a second wave of the disease hits and infects a subset of the people who were not infected in the first wave. Eventually, enough people get sick, develop antibodies, and there is a strong enough herd immunity in the population to decrease future out breaks in size." I think this is the most likely near term prognosis for China as it relaxes it's "non-pharmacological measures" that have discouraged spread.