3 ms·
WHO wants to have their cake and eat it too. They designate Covid-19 as the severe disease, and want only those numbers confirmed with tests. Then to calculate
by confeit 7y ago
WHO wants to have their cake and eat it too. They designate Covid-19 as the severe disease, and want only those numbers confirmed with tests. Then to calculate death rate they look at everyone who is infected with novel coronavirus, including those that have not recovered yet.
> huge quantities of people with nCoV are completely and totally asymptomatic.
From 72.314 cases, as of February 11, 2020, only 889 asymptomatic cases (1%).
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130 https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762130
- arcticbull 7y agoWell, if they're asymptomatic they don't seek treatment right? So how would you catch them, except incidentally to incidents like the cruise ships.
- confeit 7y ago> However, the total number of COVID-19 cases is likely higher due to inherent difficulties in identifying and counting mild and asymptomatic cases. > Nevertheless, all CFRs still need to be interpreted with caution and more research is required. Like the cruise ships: > The ministry has tested 4,061 people so far, of which 705 were positive, including 392 people who were asymptomatic. So seems your estimate of "huge numbers of asymptomatic" is not far from the mark. Apologies. See also: > Asymptomatic infection has been reported, but the majority of the relatively rare cases who are asymptomatic on the date of identification/report [due to contact testing] went on to develop disease. The proportion of truly asymptomatic infections is unclear but appears to be relatively rare and does not appear to be a major driver of transmission. https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-chi...