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Something seems strange. The woman was in a traffic accident on the 6th. She attended church services on the 9th and 16th. On the 17th she was confirmed to h
by mikekchar 7y ago
Something seems strange. The woman was in a traffic accident on the 6th. She attended church services on the 9th and 16th. On the 17th she was confirmed to have the virus. Then "days later" "hundreds of people" become ill at the church. I'm under the impression that the virus has a long incubation period. As it isn't clear where she got the virus, isn't it likely that she isn't the original carrier, but contracted it from some other connection to the church? I mean it seems like the first opportunity to infect people was the 9th and something like 10 days later hundreds of people are ill.
- alamortsubite 7y ago> Then "days later" "hundreds of people" become ill at the church. Days later, South Korean health officials tested people thought to have been in contact with the patient, and hundreds of those tests came back positive. The article doesn't say whether any of those tested showed symptoms (of any illness); the incubation period really isn't relevant.
- rriepe 7y agoThe time to having it/transmitting it is quick, like 2 or 3 days. Symptoms come later, on average 6 days after that. If you're dealing with a big group of people, 10 days is sort of a smoking gun here.
- Erikun 7y agoMedian incubation time 4 days and interquartile range 2-7 in this study in the New England Journal of Medicine, https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032 https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2002032