Car accidents don't increase in incidence exponentially in a matter of weeks. The chances of being infected right now are kind of irrelevant to this discussion

Car accidents don't increase in incidence exponentially in a matter of weeks. The chances of being infected right now are kind of irrelevant to this discussion; I don't see very many people panicking that they're necessarily concerned about this very moment, so I think you're arguing against a strawman. People are simply extrapolating a bit, and the trajectory is giving some cause for concern.