3 ms·
To be fair, those in authority were doing a pretty good job decimating the male working age population before flu came along. They could probably model the dail
by technotony 7y ago
To be fair, those in authority were doing a pretty good job decimating the male working age population before flu came along. They could probably model the daily death rate from flu in it's early days to be less than that on the Western front... especially if they weren't very good at modelling exponential growth.
- stevenwoo 7y agoThe SIR model for infectious disease growth was proposed in 1927, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_modelling_of_infectious_disease https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematical_modelling_of_infe.... We got taught this in our undergrad calculus class and wrote programs to play with the different parameters - it's kind of eye opening if one has never thought too much about it - pretty much everyone gets infected within some constraints.