3 ms·
Indeed. I've seen that, but not deaths,recoveries data. The above has the potential underestimate problem from case growths.
by nullc 7y ago
Indeed. I've seen that, but not deaths,recoveries data. The above has the potential underestimate problem from case growths.
- HarryHirsch 7y agoFrom the Diamond Princess we've got a pretty good idea about mortality. It's almost a conspiracy theory: let the disease run its course in a controlled environment to see how bad it is.
- nullc 7y agoDiamond Princess isolated people, no? That is unlike what we'll see in the broader population.
- jointpdf 7y agoThey include a breakdown by date of onset as well, which isn’t exactly the method you suggest (but I read somewhere that recovery time is ~2 weeks for mild cases and ~3-6 weeks for severe). Case fatality by date of onset: [<Dec 31] 14.4% (n=105) [Jan 1-10] 15.6% (n=653) [Jan 11-20] 5.7% (n=5417) [Jan 21-31] 1.9% (n=26468) [>Feb 1] 0.8% (n=12030) That does make the overall fatality rate look quite a bit worse than the naive calculation.